Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.031299 0.033659 0.036020 0.038555 0.041197 0.043865 0.046762
2025-09-28 0.026011 0.029661 0.033439 0.037624 0.042117 0.046782 0.051975
2025-10-05 0.023994 0.028469 0.033207 0.038563 0.044420 0.050601 0.057589
2025-10-12 0.021894 0.026930 0.032369 0.038628 0.045579 0.053017 0.061531
2025-10-19 0.020097 0.025556 0.031561 0.038579 0.046483 0.055041 0.064940
2025-10-26 0.019112 0.025005 0.031591 0.039389 0.048269 0.057977 0.069300
2025-11-02 0.017874 0.024073 0.031108 0.039546 0.049261 0.059979 0.072580
2025-11-09 0.016670 0.023102 0.030516 0.039518 0.049991 0.061643 0.075445
2025-11-16 0.015567 0.022189 0.029935 0.039453 0.050635 0.063175 0.078130
2025-11-23 0.014482 0.021238 0.029260 0.039232 0.051059 0.064425 0.080467
2025-11-30 0.013559 0.020440 0.028727 0.039143 0.051605 0.065789 0.082914
2025-12-07 0.012471 0.019379 0.027829 0.038574 0.051552 0.066432 0.084509
2025-12-14 0.011388 0.018316 0.026942 0.038054 0.051611 0.067281 0.086441
2025-12-21 0.010177 0.017034 0.025744 0.037128 0.051174 0.067550 0.087716
2025-12-28 0.009877 0.016954 0.026057 0.038060 0.052970 0.070445 0.092054
2026-01-04 0.009238 0.016374 0.025695 0.038124 0.053691 0.072051 0.094870
2026-01-11 0.008604 0.015763 0.025265 0.038076 0.054255 0.073456 0.097439
2026-01-18 0.008344 0.015669 0.025508 0.038879 0.055865 0.076114 0.101496
2026-01-25 0.007861 0.015225 0.025261 0.039035 0.056659 0.077781 0.104369
2026-02-01 0.007345 0.014703 0.024887 0.039007 0.057210 0.079143 0.106871
2026-02-08 0.006851 0.014185 0.024498 0.038943 0.057700 0.080422 0.109267
2026-02-15 0.006338 0.013611 0.024006 0.038724 0.057979 0.081432 0.111331
2026-02-22 0.005901 0.013128 0.023624 0.038635 0.058411 0.082622 0.113607